Okay, I am hearing some funny rumors, so want to take a different approach to this mock. Focusing more on the top 15 or so picks depending on which rumor is true.
So lets put some ground rules in.
1) I am hearing more and more the over/under for WRs taken in round 1 is 2.5 - so we will work with that.
2) I am hearing Trade talk at #2 and #3, so will address that accordingly.
3) IMO over under for Qb in round 1 is 4. IMO neither Richardson or Levis are worth trading into the top 5 for - so Colts could be safe at 4
Mock Draft:
1) Carolina - Bryce Young QB Alabama - this forces a move at #2 so lets see what happens...
Option 1
2) TRADE - Houston supposedly wanted Young only, so instead moves out to get more picks - Best option to me is Indianapolis since dropping to 4 gets them talent they need - Indianapolis - C.J. Stroud QB Ohio State
3) Arizona - just lost all its trade potential - so IMO this is a clear pick - Will Anderson OLB Alabama
4) Houston - taking best talent available here for a DC minded coach - Jalen Carter DT Georgia
5) Seattle - 2 picks in first round top DE and top DT gone - sticking with defense and going Tyree Wilson DE Texas Tech
6) Detroit - with top DL gone - going for young CB since the FA moves were short time fixes and they traded Okudah away - Devon Witherspoon CB Illinois
7) Las Vegas - Christian Gonzales CB Oregon is highest need - not QB
8) Atlanta - Lukas Van Ness DE Iowa - need to build up the defense to help young offense
9) Chicago - Paris Johnson Jr OT Ohio State - OL and DL are biggest needs and keeping Fields on his feet is priority
10) Philadelphia - need is S, DL and Lb - never ever take LB in first round, S either. I could see a trade back here for a team that wants QB, but my gut says - Peter Skoronski G/OT Northwestern this is what Philly does, they have need at OG, and need future OT replacements
11) Tennessee - Titans are exstatic here - Anthony Richardson QB Florida just dropped to them for no cost - and they now have future to build with and let him sit for a year and develop.
12) Houston Texans - more defense - Miles Murphy DE Clemson
13) NY Jets - Broderick Jones OT Georgia - need to keep Aaron Rodgers on his feet.
14) New England - WR a need, but not here. QB? I am hearing more and more they are not high on Mac Jones, but don't see it happening. RB? Patriots don't take first round RBs very often, tell you what, lets leave it here and try option 2.
Option 2
2) Houston - Takes C.J. Stroud QB Ohio State
3) Arizona - Will Anderson OLB Alabama - I just don't see anyone willing to trade up this high to get a QB, they aren't that good or ready to play
4) Indianapolis - Anthony Richardson QB Florida - he is there at no extra cost
5) Seattle - DT Jalen Carter Georgia
6) Detroit - Tyree Wilson DE Texas Tech - Wow him and Hutchinson on opposite sides...Yikes
7) Las Vegas - Christian Gonzales CB Oregon
8) Atlanta - Lukas Van Ness DE Iowa
9) Chicago - Paris Johnson Jr OT Ohio State
10) Philadelphia - yes they resigned both CBs, but this is a need and the value is too high - Devon Witherspoon CB Illinois
11) Tennessee - a change here may be in place - I have no idea how they feel about Levis. So switching to top OL which is major need - Peter Skoronski G/OT Northwestern
12) Houston - so here is the thing, they went QB at #2, so Defense here? Or offensive tool to help young QB? - I think its the latter - Zay Flowers WR Boston College
Rest probably falls the same
So lets put some ground rules in.
1) I am hearing more and more the over/under for WRs taken in round 1 is 2.5 - so we will work with that.
2) I am hearing Trade talk at #2 and #3, so will address that accordingly.
3) IMO over under for Qb in round 1 is 4. IMO neither Richardson or Levis are worth trading into the top 5 for - so Colts could be safe at 4
Mock Draft:
1) Carolina - Bryce Young QB Alabama - this forces a move at #2 so lets see what happens...
Option 1
2) TRADE - Houston supposedly wanted Young only, so instead moves out to get more picks - Best option to me is Indianapolis since dropping to 4 gets them talent they need - Indianapolis - C.J. Stroud QB Ohio State
3) Arizona - just lost all its trade potential - so IMO this is a clear pick - Will Anderson OLB Alabama
4) Houston - taking best talent available here for a DC minded coach - Jalen Carter DT Georgia
5) Seattle - 2 picks in first round top DE and top DT gone - sticking with defense and going Tyree Wilson DE Texas Tech
6) Detroit - with top DL gone - going for young CB since the FA moves were short time fixes and they traded Okudah away - Devon Witherspoon CB Illinois
7) Las Vegas - Christian Gonzales CB Oregon is highest need - not QB
8) Atlanta - Lukas Van Ness DE Iowa - need to build up the defense to help young offense
9) Chicago - Paris Johnson Jr OT Ohio State - OL and DL are biggest needs and keeping Fields on his feet is priority
10) Philadelphia - need is S, DL and Lb - never ever take LB in first round, S either. I could see a trade back here for a team that wants QB, but my gut says - Peter Skoronski G/OT Northwestern this is what Philly does, they have need at OG, and need future OT replacements
11) Tennessee - Titans are exstatic here - Anthony Richardson QB Florida just dropped to them for no cost - and they now have future to build with and let him sit for a year and develop.
12) Houston Texans - more defense - Miles Murphy DE Clemson
13) NY Jets - Broderick Jones OT Georgia - need to keep Aaron Rodgers on his feet.
14) New England - WR a need, but not here. QB? I am hearing more and more they are not high on Mac Jones, but don't see it happening. RB? Patriots don't take first round RBs very often, tell you what, lets leave it here and try option 2.
Option 2
2) Houston - Takes C.J. Stroud QB Ohio State
3) Arizona - Will Anderson OLB Alabama - I just don't see anyone willing to trade up this high to get a QB, they aren't that good or ready to play
4) Indianapolis - Anthony Richardson QB Florida - he is there at no extra cost
5) Seattle - DT Jalen Carter Georgia
6) Detroit - Tyree Wilson DE Texas Tech - Wow him and Hutchinson on opposite sides...Yikes
7) Las Vegas - Christian Gonzales CB Oregon
8) Atlanta - Lukas Van Ness DE Iowa
9) Chicago - Paris Johnson Jr OT Ohio State
10) Philadelphia - yes they resigned both CBs, but this is a need and the value is too high - Devon Witherspoon CB Illinois
11) Tennessee - a change here may be in place - I have no idea how they feel about Levis. So switching to top OL which is major need - Peter Skoronski G/OT Northwestern
12) Houston - so here is the thing, they went QB at #2, so Defense here? Or offensive tool to help young QB? - I think its the latter - Zay Flowers WR Boston College
Rest probably falls the same