Michael Thomas dynasty value

ExperiencedRookie

Well-Known Member
What happens to Michael Thomas' value if/when Brees retires? Is he QB proof? Will it matter if it's Taysom Hill at QB for a year?

I have Thomas on a 2 year deal, and it's crazy expensive to keep him around any longer than that. I also don't see any chance of winning a championship this year.

Trade Thomas?? Will his value drop heavily if Brees retires?
 

cctekguy

Staff member
Yep.

Latavious Murray went to Brees and the Saints and his value immediately went UP.

Why wouldn't the opposite be true?
 

ExperiencedRookie

Well-Known Member
Yep.

Latavious Murray went to Brees and the Saints and his value immediately went UP.

Why wouldn't the opposite be true?
I see what you're saying, but that's a bit different. Murray is filling a role vacated by Ingram. That role is more valuable than his previous.
 

cctekguy

Staff member
Thomas + Bridgewater is filling a role vacated by Thomas + Brees.

Looks like a value loss to me.
 

KillerFins

Staff member
I'd still consider MT to be an elite FF Asset. However, it wouldn't hurt to shop him and see what you could get, because while he will still remain a top WR, his perceived value might drop.
 

ExperiencedRookie

Well-Known Member
I'd still consider MT to be an elite FF Asset. However, it wouldn't hurt to shop him and see what you could get, because while he will still remain a top WR, his perceived value might drop.
That's kind of what I was thinking.

It's a really simply theory. Buy low. Sell high. Somehow it's always way more complicated than that. It's tough to buy on a guy who has struggled recently. It's equally tough to trade away a guy who is crushing it.
 

cctekguy

Staff member
Also keep in mind that there is no certainty that Brees won't play in 2020.

Maybe ride him through the season and look for a deal when the play-off teams are looking for an edge.

You'll know more about Brees' future then too.
 

Phicinfan

Expert on nothing, opinionated on everything
Administrator
The loss of Brees will be solely dependant on who replaced Brees. There is no given that Bridgewater is the next Qb there or Hill. There will always be a draft coming that could effect it.

I would be MORE worried if I owned the players if the rumors of Payton leaving are true....his plans makes that offense what it is...
 

Walter34

Well-Known Member
I dont see Hill ever starting, he is a part time swiss army knife. Bridgewater is a maybe but less than 50% that he is the starter 1 or 2 years from now. We don't have the crystal ball to see what the Saints are in the future.

If you have to lose Thomas anyway due to other reasons that you are implying (crazy expensive), then that would be the reason to consider moving him. You could get a boat load now or mid season. So, for that reason I would shop him but would only deal for a GREAT offer.
 

ExperiencedRookie

Well-Known Member
Thanks for all the responses fellas.
I've been trying to think of similar situations. Solid WRs playing with elite QBs who retired.

The most recent I could think of is how DT and Sanders went from world beaters to average after Manning declined and retired.
 

Walter34

Well-Known Member
The closest situation I could find was TY Hilton 2017 when Luck missed the whole year and brissett was QB. Hilton dropped from a 1300 average yd guy down to 950 for that one year.

Now I think Thomas is better than TY and we have a sample of 1 so take it with a grain of salt.
 
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